2024-03-25 • Updated
The Australian Dollar (AUD) rebounds on Monday, despite a slight dip in the US Dollar (USD) and higher US Treasury yields. Investors are eyeing Australian monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for February and US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for Q4 2023. The AUD gains momentum as the ASX 200 Index rises, especially in mining and energy sectors. Additionally, the Aussie Dollar gets support from a stronger Chinese Yuan (CNY) as the People's Bank of China (PBoC) sets the yuan's mid-rate higher than expected. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) corrects after hitting a five-week high, possibly due to expectations of the Federal Reserve (Fed) easing cycle starting in June. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has downplayed inflation concerns, indicating a cautious approach to policy adjustments.
After breaking below the previous low on the weekly timeframe chart as shown above, we see price climb back up towards the 88% of the Fibonacci retracement; creating a QMR pattern - an even deeper confirmation for a price reversal.
Taking a closer look at the AUDNZD price action from the daily timeframe point of view shows even more clearly the QMR pattern as mentioned earlier. The bearish array of the moving averages indicates the likelihood of price to reverse from the supply zone. The presence of the trendline resistance lends even further confirmation to the bearish sentiment; making it my favourite trade idea of the week.
Analyst’s Expectations:
Direction: Bearish
Target: 1.06953
Invalidation: 1.09432
The trading of CFDs comes at a risk. Thus, to succeed, you have to manage risks properly. To avoid costly mistakes while you look to trade these opportunities, be sure to do your due diligence and manage your risk appropriately.
You can access more of such trade ideas and prompt market updates on the telegram channel.
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Gold prices rose on Monday as the US Dollar weakened amidst speculation about potential Federal Reserve rate cuts starting in June. This weakened Dollar was partly due to improved risk sentiment pushing US Treasury yields lower. Despite facing challenges from declining yields, gold prices recovered to nearly $2,170 per troy ounce, driven by the Dollar's weakness. Federal Reserve Chair...
Canadian retail sales showed a slight rebound in February, rising by 0.1% after a 0.3% drop in January. However, this failed to fully offset the steeper decline earlier in the year, suggesting a weakening momentum in consumer spending. The increase in February was driven by gains in sectors such as sporting goods, hobby retailers, and building materials. Despite the...
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!
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